The risk of manager turnover
If your manager leaves, should you?
How many times have you invested in a mutual fund only to find the
manager, whose approach wooed you in, to move onto another business
opportunity? All too often probably. Worse, you might feel tied down
by an unrealized increase in value (which would become taxable if you
sold) or contingent exit fees. Manager turnover (i.e. manager changes)
can happen as a result of poor performance or if the manager is
attracted by other business endeavours. Whatever the case, there are a
few things you can check to determine if your fund company has what it
takes to keep its talent.
Manager Turnover
Companies that have difficulty retaining their most talented people
usually have something amiss at the route of the organization and its
structure. That being the case, you probably wouldn't want to invest
in such an organization. So is the case with mutual funds. Some funds
and companies simply can't hang onto their most valuable asset - money
managers. Since managers are entrepreneurial by nature, a lifetime
commitment is unrealistic - so here's a rule of thumb:
steer clear of fund companies that can't hold onto managers for at
least five solid years - especially if it's a chronic problem.
To find out how long has the manager of your fund been in charge,
check the company's marketing material or the fund prospectus -
otherwise call your financial advisor or the fund company
directly. While some funds are able to install more than capable
replacements for their departing managers, not all have been able to
keep quality at the helm.
Some Examples
University Avenue Canadian fund is a prime example. It has languished
for years with a tiny $3 million asset base and has gone through three
managers in the last five years. Black Investment Management ran the
fund (and did quite well) during its first five years, after which
they departed and were replaced by the high flying Jonathan Baird
(formerly of Dynamic) in 1995. Under Baird's direction and thanks to a
gold frenzy (his specialty), this fund was on fire - only to see its
flame fizzle soon afterwards. Baird fled to CI late in 1997 for a
short stint, and was replaced by Judy Cameron of Alpha Quest. In
February 1999, performance issues prompted another change - enter
Robert Boaz of University Avenue Asset Management. Boaz' tenure on the
fund has seen mixed results to date but University Avenue unitholders
should have better days ahead with the recent merger with Argentum and
a recently formed internal money management arm.
Investors in the old 20/20 Canadian Growth fund (now known as AGF
Canadian Stock) have also seen a flurry of management teams pass
through the revolving doors over just the past six years. Connor,
Clark and Lunn had managed the original 20/20 fund since 1989 until
mediocre performance lead the firm to bring in pension manager
Ultravest to take over in 1994. In 1996, while Ultravest was still
running the fund, Veronika Hirsch joined the firm and was scheduled to
take over management of this fund. Before she had a chance to,
however, Hirsch left to work for Fidelity later that year, leaving
AGF's Laura Wallace in charge of this abandoned ship. After two years
of so-so results, Martin Hubbes (another internal manager) took over
and the fund absorbed AGF's old Canadian Equity fund. Since Hubbes
took over, his value-conscious growth approach has resulted in an
impressive turnaround. Sure, technology is at the root of his success
but banks and energy stocks are also sprinkled throughout the
portfolio as an offset.
Successful Transitions
Firms that are able to orchestrate smooth transitions have at least
one of the following characteristics:
1. Disciplined Structure
Firms with a culture and process that promote succession are the best
at handling such transitions. Fidelity is one of the best examples and
is well known for plucking fresh MBA graduates from ivy league schools
and starting them as junior analysts. They then move up, in a defined
order, to senior analyst, associate portfolio manager, then lead
manager, and eventually team leader.
When the Fidelity Capital Builder was struggling under George
Domolky, he was first assigned additional analyst assistance. Then,
they brought in Thomas Sweeney as lead manager, leaving Domolky to
assist for a short time. When that didn't work, they went with the
fresh Bob Haber, who also runs the Disciplined Equity. His growth
style was welcomed in this momentum-driven market as performance has
finally turned around. Fidelity has also managed very successful
manager changes with their True North, European Growth and Growth
America funds.
2 Team Oriented Process
An investment approach that emphasizes a team based decision-making
process is superior in the context of succession planning and
continuity. Templeton Management Ltd. has hundreds of analysts around
the globe that screen thousands of stocks, narrowing the huge universe
down to a few hundred that meet the firm's valuation criteria. Though
individual managers are free to pick their favourites, they usually
can't go outside of the approved list. Templeton has had many lead
manager changes over the years, but they've been smooth and largely
unnoticed because of the disciplined process they practice.
Brandes Investment Partners runs three funds for AGF Funds. Anybody at
the firm will tell you that it doesn't matter who the lead manager is
because all buy and sell decisions are approved by Brandes' investment
committee, not by the individual lead managers. Having that level of
conviction in your team and process reduces the influence of, and
reliability on, any one individual.
3 Internal Depth and Strong Alliances with or Ownership of Third Parties
When a fund company owns other money management firms or has strong
relationships with outside advisors, it provides them with the
resources to fill any hole left by a departure. Spectrum Investments
has done a great job over the past couple of years in reorganizing
their manager assignments. When Kiki Delaney and partner Lynn Miller
left to manage money for Trimark, Spectrum worked quickly to find good
replacements.
Kiki Delaney's Spectrum Canadian Equity fund was given to the highly
respected McLean Budden (both McLean Budden and Spectrum are owned by
Sun Life). Spectrum Canadian Growth (then managed by Lynn Miller) was
changed to a multi-manager fund, with Howson Tattersall (Saxon Funds)
handling value stocks, John Mulvihill (Mulvihill Capital Management)
picking growth stocks, and Mercury Asset Management in charge of
foreign stocks. These changes were positive and left unitholders with
management talent that was just as good (if not better) than the
departing managers. Spectrum's parent also owns Boston-based giant MFS
Investment Management, one of the world's largest money managers and
continues to have strong relationships with other outside management
firms.
It is important to invest in resourceful firms with strong
organizational structures because investors can't always sell their
fund to buy another. Sometimes tax liabilities tie investors' hands,
so it is important to invest with a company that can absorb such
occasional changes. Other firms that possess at least one of the above
mentioned traits include (among others) AIM, Bissett, CI, CIBC,
Mackenzie, Perigee, PH&N, Standard Life, TD Asset Management, and
Trimark. So if you're invested with one of these firms (or another
with these qualities) and a manager change occurs don't panic - they
just may find a better replacement.
In the near future, I'll examine the flip side: individual managers
worth following.