Not-so-Canadian equity funds
High prices, strong flows cause dilution
Money managers searching for investment ideas in Canada's equity
markets repeatedly tell me that good values among mid-to-large cap
stocks are tough to find. Given that value funds have done well over
the past four years (though they generally trailed a bit last year),
strong flows of new money have continued into many of the bigger
funds. The combination of generally high valuations, maximized foreign
content, strong inflows of new cash, and a small market have caused
many Canadian equity value-oriented managers to hold relatively small
amounts of Canadian stocks.
More than fifty investment funds tracked by Morningstar Canada
categorized as Canadian equity mid- large- and small- cap funds
(excluding 'pure' funds) report a Canadian equity weighting of less
than sixty percent. Here are some of the larger and most notable
examples.
Mackenzie Cundill Canadian Security
Over the past two years, this fund has ballooned in size from less
than $250 million to nearly $1.2 billion. In the summer 2001, then
lead manager Alan Pasnik cited the fund's modest asset base as an
advantage since it did not restrict him by market capitalization. At
the time, it had a large cap bias and held only 55 percent in Canadian
stocks back then. However, its strong performance has drawn lots of
new cash, which has effectively precluded it from shopping among
smaller companies. Now, its Canadian equity weighting stands at just
over one-third of assets. In fact, at 35 percent of assets, it holds
nearly as much cash as it does domestic equities.
Co-manager Wade Burton (who stepped in last summer) says he's working
hard to find new investment ideas. While he admits that it's tougher
today, he maintains that he's still finding new stocks to buy - but
apparently not as quickly as cash is piling up.
Mackenzie Ivy Canadian
At 57 percent, this $5.4 billion fund is a poor proxy for the Canadian
equity asset class. The Ivy team prides itself on the selection of a
concentrated list of names that exhibit the attractive combination of
low valuations and above-average growth prospects. However, more than
four years ago, when this fund was just a bit smaller, Javasky
admitted to having to stick to strictly large cap stocks based both on
assets and portfolio concentration.
Javasky's penchant for building up cash (which currently sits at a
historically low 14 percent) results from a limited universe of
potential investment candidates and generally elevated valuation
levels. Credit this team for sticking to their knitting in the face of
significant constraints. However, investors desiring pure Canadian
stock exposure should probably look elsewhere.
CI Harbour Fund
Like his former Ivy teammate, lead manager Gerry Coleman held 56
percent in Canadian stocks and 20 percent in cash as of the end of
March. A recent commentary by the Harbour team highlights the
significant contribution that small-to-mid cap stocks have had on
longer-term returns. However, with more than $2 billion in this fund -
and another $1 billion in other incarnations of the same - Coleman and
his team will be more restricted from significant participation in
smaller firms. Hence, Coleman's selectivity, big asset base, policy of
maximizing foreign content, and high current valuations add up to a
portfolio that doesn't come close to offering full exposure to
domestic equities.
Other examples
Universal Canadian Growth is a lower profile Mackenzie offering in
this space that suffers from the same issue. While it's not as flush
with cash as some others - at 13 percent - it is a bit high. However,
its foreign content, at 32 percent of market value, leaves just over
half for domestic stock exposure. Further, industry competition means
most funds maximize foreign content, which leaves relatively few funds
that offer pure exposure to Canadian stocks.
AIC Canadian Focussed actually holds more in foreign stocks - 46
percent - than it does in Canadian equities. At 15 percent, its cash
holdings have been sharply diminished but only recently after a long
period of holding more than three times that level. The result is a
Canadian equity weighting of less than 40 percent in this concentrated
portfolio.
Chou RRSP, while a solid long-term performer, is the worst offender
when it comes to not-so-Canadian equity funds. It holds less than a
one-third of its assets in domestic stocks due in large part to a
recent cash infusion from Fairfax Financial (the manager's
employer). However, high stock valuations made this a bad time to get
an influx of new cash since there are relatively few good
opportunities in which to deploy the cash.
The managers of the Cundill, Universal, and Harbour funds noted above
are on my recommended list. However, a fast-growing asset base and
very low Canadian equity content make all of these funds questionable
holdings if pure exposure is the goal. This is particularly true of
those aiming to maximize foreign content - which most do.
Some will prefer the chosen manager to deploy the cash where they see
fit - or sit on it in the absence of suitable opportunities. Others
rather prefer a fund that offers a higher and more consistent
exposure. Whatever your preference, it is most important to know what
you are buying since such drastic changes in asset mix can play havoc
with clients' investment strategies.