Nortel investors sideswiped - again
Many funds hold NT as it drops bomb
Last week, Nortel again dropped a mini-bomb on financial markets when
it announced the termination (with cause) of three senior executives -
including the CEO. Adding salt to the wound was the revelation that
its fiscal 2003 profit would be sliced in half after the completion of
a secondary financial review. Fund managers have been burned before -
less than four years ago - when then-CEO John Roth admitted that his
previous earnings guidance was way off the mark.
This latest surprise was less dramatic but it begs the question of how
so many managers bought into this infamous stock so soon after its
last act of deception? This is of particular interest in the context
of funds and managers who seemingly possess a style or mandate that
doesn't quite fit with this stock.
More than 500 investment funds held Nortel Networks among its biggest
investments as of the end of March (source: Morningstar Canada's
Paltrak 98). Here are some of the funds that caught my eye.
AIM Canadian First Class
Managed by Roger Mortimer in AIM's San Francisco office (Mortimer is,
ironically, a Canadian), this fund is rare among 'AIM' funds. The
unusual part is its fairly strong value-tilt in a mainly
growth-oriented fund family. Interestingly, a brief inspection reveals
that this fund's participation in the Nortel party the first time
around (from late 1998 through late 2000) came mainly via then-parent
BCE Inc. However, its top holdings as of the end of March included
Nortel.
While some value managers - like Templeton and Brandes - did buy
Nortel a couple of years ago, most divested their stakes last
year. That was precisely the time when growth and momentum managers
were beginning to once again take to the Brampton-based company.
While I've not spoken with the Mortimer or AIM, it doesn't make a
great deal of sense that this fund still holds Nortel, particularly
after it shot up past $10 earlier this year. That said, this fund
continues to sit in a profit position on this stock.
Fidelity True North
Originally managed by Alan Radlo (after Veronika Hirsch's
scandal-driven departure), this fund has thrived. Just over eighteen
months ago, Steven Binder took over as Radlo was given a new
responsibility (to start the NorthStar global equity fund). While
Binder is as price-sensitive as Radlo (if not more so) there is a
simple explanation as to why this fund is holding Nortel. Two words:
tracking error.
Fidelity keeps tight reigns on their portfolio managers with their
firm-wide policy of not taking big bets against a fund's specified
benchmark. Just a couple of Fidelity managers have earned enough
success to make more significant bets but most must be very mindful of
the benchmark and this must be reflected in their portfolios.
Nortel remains a benchmark heavyweight - even after its infamous
descent - so all benchmark sensitive managers must hold 'some'
Nortel. Others that fall into this category include (but are not
limited to) Legg Mason Canada, McLean Budden, PH&N, and Standard Life.
TD Canadian Equity
Interestingly, lead manager John Smolinski was briefly part of
Mackenzie's Ivy team. At the time, he was hired to assist Jerry
Javasky with Canadian equities - Ivy Canadian in particular. He was
part of the team when Ivy Canadian purchased Nortel Networks in late
1999. Javasky noted in a November 23, 1999 Globe and Mail article
that he added to Ivy Canadian's Nortel stake.
Smolinski didn't stay with Mackenzie for long before moving on to TD
Asset Management. However, now that Nortel has popped up in
Smolinski's TD Canadian Equity fund, it seems that Smolinski is either
very benchmark sensitive - or that he has really bought into the
Nortel story twice in five years.
That's not to say that he's been hurt this time around. In fact, it
appears that the Nortel position remains profitable. Most of the 12
million shares Smolinski purchased for this fund happened during the
first five months of last year at an average price south of $4 per
share. However, the bigger issue is whether this firm can really be
trusted and what the financials really should look like. Therein lies
the risk
Other examples
Before you get upset if one of your preferred mutual funds holds this
troubled company, it is first instructive to examine a couple of
things. First is style. A growth, momentum, or benchmark sensitive
fund should be expected to have Nortel. However, if the style seems
inconsistent with a holding like Nortel, it's time to do more homework
to understand why it's there and what the manager's current thinking
is in the context of that stock.
If a mistake was made, look for a simple and candid
admission. Otherwise, look for further insight as to how to value a
company whose financials have been plagued with problems for
years. It's just one of many holdings for such funds, but using
individual examples is a good way to better understand how money is
managed.